When I started this blog fourteen months ago, I said that I wasn't going to talk about politics since there were many people who were not comfortable discussing the subject. However, my interest in politics has increased significantly over the past three years and not writing about something I know a lot about seems pretty silly now. And, if anyone doesn't want to read this, it won't bother me one bit.
I majored in political science(and English) and over the years I've read all kinds of political books and articles. In particular, I really enjoy election politics. Obviously, the 2016 election was one for the history books. However, I'd like to focus on what's going to happen between now and November 2020 and in particular the Democratic primary. I've been reading about the candidates at least since last summer. It's possible I can give you some insight and help you decide who you will vote for, if you're voting in the Democratic primary.
This primary will be historic. Nothing in our history can compare to the all out battle that is about to take place between male/female candidates, white and non-white candidates, young and old candidates, and liberal and moderate candidates. This will be an extremely competitive and fascinating race that will be studied for many years to come.
The outcome? There will not be two males on the ticket or two females either. There won't be two white people and certainly not two old people or two very liberal or two very moderate people. If the Democratic ticket is one on one with the Republican ticket, they will win the popular vote easily, but that doesn't mean they will win the presidency. They could lose it again. The vote in New York and California has given the Democrats a 5-6 million vote advantage the last three elections and I believe it will be higher than that in 2020 and that's not something the President can overcome. I think there will be a serious third party candidate(probably Bloomberg) and that will mean that anything can happen.
As far as the Democratic candidates, many of them are very likable. I may not like what they say, but I like many of them. I'm convinced Joe Biden will get in and he will be the person to beat. If he's the nominee, a perfect running mate would be Senator Kamala Harris from California. I've had these two picked since last summer. You should keep your eye on Senator Sherrod Brown from Ohio if Bident does not get in. He was my pick for VP for Hillary Clinton and he was her second pick. He's not flashy, but he's knowledgeable and he's from the middle of the country where they have to win back voters.
Bernie Sanders may have a lot of financial support already, but he won't win against a formidable group like this. He's also not going to win in November 2020. There will be a lot of debates and if you're interested you should watch them. This is something you may never see again. I'm going to enjoy every bit of it.
No comments:
Post a Comment