Monday, January 13, 2025

LOOKING BACK AND FORWARD: Predicting The Future

Television, newspapers, and the internet are always telling us what might happen in the future and most of the time it's not good news.  I read an article recently that I saved from January 27, 1997 and it was published by Newsweek.  The article is entitled, "Cloudy Days In Tomorrowland."

Here are some of the quotes from people explaining what will happen in the future.  It's a good idea to keep a few of these in mind the next time someone tells you something awful will happen in the future. (It probably won't.)


1.  "Man will never reach the moon, regardless of all future scientific advances." Dr. Lee De Forest, inventor of the Audion tube and a father of radio, Feb. 25, 1967 


2. "Television won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months.  People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." Darryl F. Zanuck, head of 20th Century-Fox, 1946 


3. "Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value."  Marshal Ferdinand Foch, French military commander and future World War 1 commander, 1911 


4. "We don't like their sound. Groups of guitars are on the way out." Decca Records talking about The Beatles, 1962.


5. "Computers in the future may perhaps only weigh 1.5 tons." Popular Mechanics 1949




6.  "The horse is here to stay, but the automobile is only a novelty-a fad." A President of Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford's lawyer not to invest in Ford's company.  Horace Backham bought $5,000 shares of stock and sold it for $12.5 million.


7."There is no reason for anyone to have a computer in their home." Kenneth Olsen, president and founder of Digital Equipment Corp. 1977


8. "Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." Irving Fisher, Yale University, Oct. 17, 1929


9.  "I have no political ambitions for myself or my children." Joseph P. Kennedy, 1936


10. "I continue to believe that Donald Trump will never be President." President Barack Obama, February 17, 2016 (This of course wasn't in the article)



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